Aintree – Red Rum Handicap Chase 2019
RED RUM HANDICAP CHASE
LAST 22 RUNNERS
Fav won 5 and second fav 2
19 came from the first 10 in the betting
16 came from the first 6
Winners at 33/1, 25/1 & 20/1 twice. The other 18 were 16/1 or less
ALL carried 10-00 to 12-00
18 of the last 20 winners carried 11-5 or less
20 carried 10-2+
Official Rating (OR)
20 were rated 143 or less
ALL aged 5-11 EXCEPT 10yo's who are 0-34
5yo's have won once from just 7 runners (14%)
7 & 9yo's are both on 9% with 6-70 and 7-75 respectively
6. 8 & 11yo's are on 7% with 2-28, 5-71 and 1-14 respectively
ALL had 1-11 runs in the last year
ALL had 1-10 runs that season
17 completed last run
16 of these finished in the first 9
15 finished in the first 7
13 in the first 5
21 won over between 2m – 2m4.5F – no further
20 ran over 2m1F+
19 had won over further than this 2 mile trip
17 were distance winners
ALL last ran 8-365 days ago
7 came from the Grand Annual Chase at the festival.
BRELAN D'AS was about 4L third, FOREST BIHAN fourth and WHATSWRONGWITHYOU seventh
Philip Kirby has had 6 wins from 12 runners in the past 14 days and is 1/2 with his chasers here.
The David Pipe yard is bang in form with 5/18 winners in the past fortnight
Nico de Boinville is 127/446 for Nicky Henderson
D Meyler is 3/8 riding for Sean O'Brien
BRELAN D'AS has a perfect trends profile.
Particularly important is his 4L third in the best trial – the Grand Annual at Cheltenham.
Next best was one of our two Cheltenham Plate picks (the other won), EAMON AN CNOIC, who was just 3.5L fourth behind Siruh de Luc.
Perfect trends proifle as the weights stand but the Plate is not a good trial for this.
I can't split them so am backing both:
BRELAN D'AS is 8/1 generally
EAMON AN CNOIC is 11/2 with Bet365 Paddy Power & Boylesport