SATURDAY 13/4/18

AYR 4.05






Fav won 3 and the second fav ditto

17 came from the first 12 in the betting

Winners  at 66/1, 40/1, 33/1 twice, 25/1 & 20/1 twice, make the market a poor guide to this 


ALL carried 10-0 to 11-12

21 carried 11-10 or less

Official Ratings (OR)

ALL rated 124-150

21 had OR's of 148 or less


ALL aged 7-11

8yo's are best with 8-132 (6%)

11yo's next best, strike rate wise, on 3-64 (5%)

7 and 9yo's are next on 4% with 3-81 & 5-115 respectively

10 yo's  are 3-91 (3%)


ALL ran 2-8 times in the preceding year

20 ran 2-6 times that season

20 had won over 2m7.5F+

ALL had run over 3m1f+

ALL bar one completed last time

20 of those 21 finished in the first 6

14 finished in the first 3 – 7 won

ALL last ran 120 days or less ago

Best Trials

The 4 miler, the Challenge Chase at the Cheltenham festival has bene the best guide, providing 3 winners.

IMPULSIVE STAR pulled up and SKIPTHECUDDLES unseated at the fourth.

The Grimthorpe Chase at Doncaster has given us two winners of this.

CHIDSWELL won it 9L, current 8/1 fav, DINGO DOLLAR, was second and BRIAN BORANHA (1lb better off) was a further 4L back in third.


Nicky Richards is 1-3 with his runners over the last 2 weeks and Sean Quinlan is 1/3 riding for him

Graeme McPherson is 2-3 at the course and 1-1 with his chasers here.

Sean Thomas-Doyle is 1-1 at the course (a chaser)

Peter Niven has a 1-1 record here too

Michael Scudamore is 1-2 with his chasers here

Callum Bewley is 2/3 for Nigel TwistonDavies


With such a wide weight and ratings range, this doesn't look a race to go in big on.

Only one falls down on the weights trends. Ditto with the days since runs

The two that ran in the best trial didn't complete least time (21 had done so last time)

However, all the first 3 from the second best trial renew rivalry. As below:


The 7yo  second in that race, DINGO DOLLAR

The 8yo third, BRIAN BORANHA

The 10yo winner, CHIDSWELL


As an 8yo, BRIAN BORANHA gets the verdict. 8YO'S have twice the strike rate of 7yo's and a 50% superior strike rate than 10yo's.

33/1 with Paddy Power and Betvictor