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Temple Stakes 2019

Saturday 25/5/19

Haydock 4.00

The Temple Stakes

Group 2

Last 22 Runnings

Market

Not a good race for short priced favs with just one of the five returned 6/4 or under winning

Other favs have won 7 but the second fav won just once

The first, third and fourth in the betting have won 16

Winners at 33/1, 20/1, 16/1 & 14/1 but the remaining 18 (including 12 of the last 13) were 10/1 or less

Weight

ALL carried 8-10 to 9-9

21 carried 9-4 or less

19 carried 9-00+

Official Rating (OR)

ALL the last 20 had an OR of 100+

20 of these were rated 103+

Age

ALL aged 3-8 and – with the exception of 6yo's – there is not much to choose from.

In order of strike rate:

4yo’s are best with 7 winners from 51 runners (14%)

7yo’s are 2-16 (13%)

 8yo's are 2-18 (11%)

Next best are 5 and 3yo's with 5-51 (10%) & 3-34 (9%) respectively

6yo's bring up the rear (of winning age group) with 3-43 (7%)

Profile

20 had between 4 and 13 runs in the preceding year

19 had between 0-2 runs that season

19 posted a first 6 finish last time

16 finished in the first 4 of which 5 won and 5 finished second

20 had run (12 won) over 6F+

18 had won at the distance

15 last ran 1-30 days ago

7 last ran 121-365 ago (similar strike rates)

No horse has won this  more than once over the past 22 years – let alone back to back.

The Palace House Stakes is easily the best trial. 8 winners came from that race

MAB’S CROSS (a fast finishing fourth in this last year) won t.is on debut this year and last year too/

Trainers (with runners)

Robert Cowell is 1-3 here with his 3yo’s

CONCLUSION

Shortlist

MABBS CROSS, was first home in the best trial – the Temple Stakes – 3 weeks ago at Newmarket.

Our trends pick in this last year, she got going too late and was finishing best of all for a ¾ L fourth.

Held by BATTAASH on that but improved to go down by a nose to ALPAH DELPHINI in the G1 Nunthorpe at York, before improving further to win the G1 Prix de l’Abbeye at Longchamp’s Arc meeting last Autumn.

Reversed the form that day with BATTAASH (on 4lbs worse terms) over that turning 5F. ALPHA DELPHINI was put in its place too that day, beaten 4L 11th of 17.

She looks the one to beat. Should love the ground and, if able to lay up a little closer to the pace this year, will take all the beating, even though second fav at present.

POCKET DYNAMO is a fascinating 33/1 outsider given the trainers strike rate with his infrequent 3yo runners here and Robert Cowell’s record with sprinters generally.

Beaten just a nose in the G2 Norfolk Stakes over 5F at Royal Ascot last season, he was beaten 4.75L by the very smart (2/9 fav for Saturday’s 3yo, G2 Sandy Lane Stakes – the race before) Calyx.

Watch the market! (drifting 25's out to 33's as I write Friday 5pm)

Selection

 MAB’S CROSS will take all the beating and should improve on that close 4th last season in this.

Ticks all the trends boxes except is second fav

Posted best ever RPR when winning the Temple Stakes over 5f at Newmarket last time and could improve further still this season.

Currently 3/1 second fav with Paddy Power