Skybet York Stakes ( 3yo + )
Last 13 Runnings
Favs won 6 and second favs twice
ALL came from the first 7 in the betting
7 were retruned 4/1 or less.
ALL carried 8-6 to 9-6
11 carried 9-2 to 9-5
Official Ratings (OR)
All had an OR of 102+
11 were rated 112+
6yo's have the best strike rate of 20% with 3-15
5yo's are on 15% with 4-27
4 and 7yo's have a 13% strike rate with with 4-30 and 1-8 respectively
3yo's are 1-10 (10%)
12 past winners had ran between 3 and 7 times in the last year.
ALL ran 4 times or less that season.
12 finished in the first 5 last time out
10 finished in the first 3 – 4 won
9/13 winners had ran last time out between 16 to 30 days.
None won after a 7 day lay off or less lay off and 61-120 days
11 had won over 1m1F+
12 previous winners had ran between 10f and 12f
The Coral Eclipse ( San 1m 2f ) has provided 5 winners of this race. REGAL REALITY was 2.75L third.
Daniel Tudhope is 35/109 riding for Willie Haggas
Dane O'Neill is 6/21 for Mark Johnston
ADDEYB fits all the trends but the days since run is a weak spot.
Only one former winner last ran 31 – 60 days ago
REGAL REALITY has a flawless trends profile with his last run a good third behind wonder mare, Enabled, in the best trial – the Coral Eclipse.
That was 21 days ago and horses having their last run 16-30 days ago won 9 renewals.
For the reasons above REGAL REALITY – 6/4 @ BET365 & BOYLESPORT (the only 2 big bookies who pay out on BOG terms on bets struck the night before racing).
REGAL REALITY ran like a drain to finish a 5.25L fourth.
I don't think the ground could be blamed as the race was run in a time just 0.57 secs per furlong slower than standard. May have wanted it faster – as in the Eclipse – but I suspect there is some temperament problem as he had to be led down to the start again.