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Low Risk – High Reward Staking   You may have seen the table below in previous blogs, but I make no apologies for repeating it.  The connection between strike rate and losing runs should constantly be borne in mind. This table is a graphic depiction of why. Strike rate and losing runs It is  important  to Read More

SATURDAY 18/5/19 NEWBURY 3.40 LOCKINGE STAKES GROUP 1 Last 22 runnings Market Fav won 12 and second fav won 5 20 came from the first 4 in the betting A winner at 20/1 but the remaining 21 were 9/1 or less. Weight ALL carried 8-11 – 9-00 Fillies (carrying 8-11) are 4-14 (28%) – 3 Read More

SATURDAY 11/4/19 ASCOT 4.00 VICTORIA CUP CLASS 2 HANDICAP LAST 20 RUNNINGS Market Fav won 4 and second fav won 4 as well 17 came from the first 11 in the market 15 from the first 9 13 came from the first 6 Winners at 331, 25/1 three times and 20/1 twice – so surprises Read More

SATURDAY 11/4/19 HAYDOCK 3.10 SWINTON HANDICAP HURDLE GRADE 3 LAST 22 RUNNINGS Market Fav won 6 and second fav 3 times 21 came from the first 9 in the betting 16 came from the first 5 Winner at 25/1 and four at 16/1, but the remaining 17 were 14/1 or less Weight ALL carried 10-00 Read More

SATURDAY 4/5/19 NEWMARKET 3.35 2000 GUINEAS GROUP 1 LAST 22 RUNNINGS Market 6 favs won and 5 second favs 19 came from the first 6 in the betting Winners at 40/1, 33/1 & 25/1, but the remaining 19 were 14/1 or less Weight ALL carry 9-00 Official Rating (OR) 12 had an OR All were Read More

SATURDAY 27/4/19 SANDOWN 3.35 THE WHITBREAD (SANDOWN GOLD CUP) GRADE 3 HANDICAP CHASE LAST 22 RUNNINGS Market Fav won just once and second favs twice ALL came from the first 13 in the betting 16 came from the first 8 in the betting Winners at 40/1, 25/1 twice and 20/1. The other 17 were 16/1 Read More

SATURDAY 20/4/19 MUSSELBURGH 3.00 SCOTTISH SPRINT CUP CLASS 2 HANDICAP LAST 19 RUNNINGS Market Favs won 4 and second favs won once Market not much of a help otherwise, with winners at 50/1, 28/1, 25/1, 20/1 and 16/1 twice. 13 were returned 14/1 or less Weight ALL carried 7-11 to 9-11 16 carried 8-1+ 15 Read More

SATURDAY 13/4/18 AYR 4.05 SCOTTISH NATIONAL HANDICAP CHASE GRADE 3 LAST 22 RUNNINGS Market Fav won 3 and the second fav ditto 17 came from the first 12 in the betting Winners  at 66/1, 40/1, 33/1 twice, 25/1 & 20/1 twice, make the market a poor guide to this  Weight ALL carried 10-0 to 11-12 21 carried Read More

SATURDAY 6/4/19 AINTREE 5.15 THE GRAND NATIONAL HANDICAP CHASE GRADE 3 LAST 22 RUNNINGS Market Favs won 4 times and the second fav twice 13 came from the first 8 in the betting A real mixture with ALL winners priced 7/1 to 100/1! Winners at 100/1, 66/1, four won at 33/1, two at 25/1, but Read More

AINTREE 4.05 THE TOPHAM CHASE GRADE 3 HANDICAP LAST 22 RUNNINGS Market Fav won twice, as did the second fav. 16 came from the first 9 in the betting Two 50/1 winners, 33/1, 25/1 and 22/1 twice. The other 16 were all priced 14/1  or less Weight ALL carried 10-00 to 11-8 Official Rating (OR) Read More